Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.097428 0.107988 0.118804 0.130685 0.143342 0.156398 0.170858
2025-01-26 0.086068 0.102736 0.120628 0.141139 0.163882 0.188211 0.216088
2025-02-02 0.073185 0.093550 0.116352 0.143480 0.174581 0.208844 0.249166
2025-02-09 0.064023 0.087036 0.113780 0.146615 0.185309 0.228954 0.281401
2025-02-16 0.055066 0.079516 0.108965 0.146196 0.191178 0.242986 0.306378
2025-02-23 0.051459 0.078009 0.110907 0.153448 0.205818 0.267072 0.343014
2025-03-02 0.047870 0.076035 0.111879 0.159205 0.218464 0.288735 0.376871
2025-03-09 0.041398 0.069541 0.106505 0.156498 0.220307 0.297138 0.394736
2025-03-16 0.035349 0.062988 0.100497 0.152466 0.220066 0.302676 0.408900
2025-03-23 0.033252 0.061833 0.101530 0.157463 0.231164 0.322134 0.440062
2025-03-30 0.030733 0.059792 0.101146 0.160425 0.239563 0.338224 0.467154
2025-04-06 0.028657 0.058213 0.101244 0.163919 0.248592 0.355107 0.495307
2025-04-13 0.025733 0.055198 0.099330 0.164864 0.254669 0.368854 0.520424
2025-04-20 0.025738 0.056962 0.104488 0.175824 0.274351 0.400355 0.568381
2025-04-27 0.023455 0.054690 0.103507 0.178071 0.282357 0.416961 0.597755
2025-05-04 0.021686 0.053107 0.103430 0.181519 0.291968 0.435697 0.629975
2025-05-11 0.019198 0.049960 0.100714 0.180970 0.295991 0.447100 0.652853
2025-05-18 0.018822 0.050657 0.104040 0.189310 0.312375 0.474859 0.696949
2025-05-25 0.018126 0.050663 0.106212 0.195929 0.326397 0.499587 0.737285
2025-06-01 0.015673 0.046930 0.102044 0.192810 0.326557 0.505756 0.753441
2025-06-08 0.013237 0.042876 0.097047 0.188165 0.324335 0.508583 0.765132
2025-06-15 0.012706 0.042803 0.098788 0.193918 0.337040 0.531591 0.803424
2025-06-22 0.011853 0.041916 0.099050 0.197326 0.346364 0.550068 0.835853